π
capital budgetingintermediate25 min
Capital Budgeting Decision Framework
A structured approach to evaluating investment projects using NPV, IRR, payback, and profitability index.
What You'll Learn
- βIdentify relevant cash flows
- βApply multiple evaluation metrics
- βMake consistent accept/reject decisions
1. Identify Incremental Cash Flows
Only include cash flows that change because of the project. Ignore sunk costs. Include opportunity costs and side effects.
Key Points
- β’Sunk costs are irrelevant
- β’Opportunity costs are relevant
- β’Include cannibalization effects on existing products
2. Apply NPV as Primary Rule
Discount all incremental cash flows at the appropriate rate. Positive NPV creates shareholder value.
Key Points
- β’NPV handles scale and timing correctly
- β’Use WACC for average-risk projects
- β’Adjust for project-specific risk when needed
3. Check IRR and Payback
Use IRR for intuition and communication. Use payback for liquidity screening. Neither replaces NPV.
Key Points
- β’IRR can mislead with non-conventional cash flows
- β’Payback ignores time value and post-cutoff flows
- β’All three metrics should align for a clear decision
4. Rank Under Constraints
When capital is limited, use profitability index to maximize value per dollar invested.
Key Points
- β’PI = PV of cash flows / initial investment
- β’Rank by PI, select top projects within budget
- β’Check if the combination is feasible
Key Takeaways
- β Working capital investment at start must be recovered at end
- β Tax depreciation creates a cash flow (tax shield)
- β Terminal value in project analysis differs from DCF terminal value
Practice Questions
1. A factory was purchased last year for $1M to evaluate this project. Is the $1M relevant?
No. It is a sunk cost and should not affect the project decision.
2. Project NPV = $50K, IRR = 8%, hurdle = 10%. Accept or reject?
Reject. Although NPV seems positive, recheckβIRR < hurdle usually means NPV should be negative. There may be a calculation error.
FAQs
Common questions about this topic
With mutually exclusive projects of different scale or timing. Always defer to NPV.